Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 128.219658 146.205853 166.154727 189.980745 217.740564 249.154248 287.524278
2025-12-07 99.250545 121.674570 148.666869 183.769961 228.531739 284.122400 359.044073
2025-12-14 83.708815 107.961035 138.891078 181.652786 239.899358 317.421628 430.010280
2025-12-21 74.459933 100.057072 134.276248 184.035756 255.659710 356.751332 513.345502
2025-12-28 69.097831 96.251770 134.089534 191.643061 278.709674 408.359606 621.538049
2026-01-04 63.771747 91.640296 131.900054 195.605694 296.326375 453.691530 726.862179
2026-01-11 57.975526 85.575104 126.710536 194.086322 304.831068 485.414830 814.577884
2026-01-18 54.510318 82.560134 125.644819 198.620724 323.229824 535.202281 940.933929
2026-01-25 50.466423 78.187303 121.914183 198.221167 333.046697 571.343429 1048.304012
2026-02-01 47.432433 75.094788 119.855837 200.249700 347.093170 616.548263 1180.271276
2026-02-08 43.692291 70.483014 114.804891 196.440786 349.978564 641.250765 1275.259286
2026-02-15 41.324011 67.942605 112.983514 198.110052 363.108563 687.116576 1422.271448
2026-02-22 38.844437 65.260527 111.121765 200.399612 379.570389 745.837824 1618.465439
2026-03-01 35.215640 60.269431 104.736862 193.544573 377.257316 766.306657 1734.279661
2026-03-08 32.646085 56.922201 100.980560 191.286829 383.977874 807.152868 1908.607315
2026-03-15 30.966022 55.032316 99.721403 193.812570 401.156577 874.213550 2165.796003
2026-03-22 30.094065 54.558982 101.091867 201.879378 431.718702 977.974444 2548.725036
2026-03-29 28.851816 53.252805 100.680469 206.082360 454.092942 1066.178991 2913.384121
2026-04-05 27.118296 50.828440 97.780009 204.470753 462.451759 1120.541361 3193.476830
2026-04-12 26.158484 49.857622 97.752845 209.280705 487.209521 1222.773930 3654.149358
2026-04-19 24.794854 47.947759 95.572287 208.856833 498.721424 1291.229475 4025.939251
2026-04-26 23.762443 46.634721 94.538728 211.008880 517.273225 1383.440223 4510.532211
2026-05-03 22.308142 44.318041 91.110263 206.968188 518.662982 1425.678937 4828.567188